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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Politics Vol. $8,719,974 174 traders

April 300%
September 3020%
May 310%
July 310%
$8,719,974 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

10
Chance
May 31 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0%
September 30
20% ▼ 1
June 15 Resolved
0%
June 22 Resolved
0%
December 31
24% ▼ 2
July 31
<1%
August 31
8% ▼ 3
March 31 Resolved
0%
April 30 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 , including both the chart and downloadable files.

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