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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Iran Regime Vol. $67,842,417 1356 traders

April 300%
June 300%
May 310%
April 150%
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$67,842,417 Vol. Iran Regime

Outcomes

8
Chance
July 31
<1%
June 24 Resolved
0%
August 31
6%
March 31 Resolved
0%
April 30 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0%
May 31 Resolved
0%
April 15 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6ea2…e79c BUY No $1.00 4m ago
  • 0x6934…10c6 BUY No $1.00 4m ago
  • 0xbb6c…8ac0 BUY No $1.00 4m ago
  • 0x30c6…a4fd BUY No $1.00 4m ago
  • 0x38f3…4323 BUY No $1.00 4m ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $5.60 4m ago
  • 0x47fb…4d63 BUY No $13.70 4m ago
  • 0x5297…7b99 BUY Yes $1.78 13m ago
  • 0x6604…6beb BUY No $47.25 48m ago
  • 0xc15b…38af BUY No $10081.90 1h ago
  • 0x3eae…e2ed BUY No $3988.00 1h ago
  • 0x1c55…fc47 SELL No $0.99 1h ago
  • 0x1c55…fc47 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x0a6d…1246 SELL No $1484.04 1h ago
  • 0x0a6d…1246 BUY No $1485.53 1h ago
  • 0xe234…304a SELL Yes $0.05 2h ago
  • 0xb4fc…a926 SELL No $3984.00 2h ago
  • 0xe1f3…85de SELL No $89.64 2h ago
  • 0x57c8…2ec4 BUY Yes $17.00 2h ago
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $189.00 2h ago
  • 0x1c14…6342 BUY No $10.00 3h ago
  • 0x1c14…6342 BUY No $10.00 3h ago
  • 0xa8da…f944 BUY Yes $20.00 3h ago
  • 0xc04d…611d SELL No $4.69 3h ago
  • 0x3e77…1749 SELL No $9.44 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $27.50 3h ago
  • 0xc04d…611d BUY No $4.70 3h ago
  • 0x3e77…1749 BUY No $9.45 3h ago
  • 0xcc15…9eaf BUY No $4.99 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $27.50 3h ago
  • 0x0d06…88d8 SELL Yes $10.31 3h ago
  • 0xb723…0065 SELL No $996.00 3h ago
  • 0x0882…15b9 SELL No $38.59 4h ago
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $2.06 4h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $11.73 4h ago
  • 0x6630…2f4e SELL No $996.00 4h ago
  • 0x462b…9ffa SELL Yes $0.74 4h ago
  • 0xaf82…92f2 SELL No $10.96 5h ago
  • 0x9dc5…d6b7 SELL No $39.80 5h ago
  • 0xdfde…c960 BUY Yes $6.31 5h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

88blitzcrank 8h ago

Problem with TACO is Iran does not agree. AlJazeera says they just attacked US forces despite prospects of maybe deal. Please Trump I beg you to finish the job.

adasol 13h ago

JUST IN: Trump threatens WIPEOUT of Iranian bridges, power plants AGAIN on FOX NEWS

hyper-liquid-xyz 14h ago

WTI OIL FUTURES DOWN 5% TO 78, US WAVING WHITE FLAG BY POSSIBLY ACCEPTING IRAN TOLLS, BEARISH

alpaje 16h ago

If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. This market will never be yes isn't it?

Mio.Aoi 17h ago

longer

0x4C6A68AD49C44da012c760893267EEcB135997BE-1775679106556 Jul 27

Trump threatens to occupy the island

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 26

WTF LOOK AT TRUTH SOCIAL TRUMP IS POSTING RANDOM DESTROYING IRAN AND KHARG POSSIBILITIES

Milin-dc Jul 26

still cheap

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 24

Oil dropped $3 in Friday after Iran is possibly TACOing - Pakistan, with support from China, was seeking to revive negotiations between the US and Iran, US thanked China for not intervening in Iran

oopslostmoney Jul 23

Blessed are the oil takers, come on

88blitzcrank Jul 25

God bless, Mr. Trump publicly said a day or two ago in Axios he was considering massive attack. He already bombed power plants and bridges so maybe Kharg? 3% odds is underrated imo and worth a gamble.

Khargisland Jul 23

Would you please add the ability to plot trading volume under the line chart?

adasol Jul 20

US to send additional F-16s, F-35s and refueling tankers to Mideast - CNN

JuicyPusy Jul 20

Why do you keep buying high and selling low repeatedly? Do you have anay idea how these markets work?

adasol Jul 20

come back when you trade more and make profit, kid

adasol Jul 20

Both side are still attacking each other this morning :)

oopslostmoney Jul 18

Oh, the excitement

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 18

Reuters - Two US service members in Jordan killed in Iranian attack, US says - Finish the job! Iran = ISIS

0xc1dB6A1F893830B7f856B1023A8655959056838D-1761246178275 Jul 18

Preliminary reports that civilians have been asked to evacuate Kharg island...

adasol Jul 17

Iran says US missiles again hit tanker docked at Kharg Island An empty oil tanker docked at Iran’s Kharg Island was again struck by US missiles, Bushehr deputy governor said on Friday, identifying the vessel as Belma.

oopslostmoney Jul 17

That is fantastic to hear

tetrose Jul 17

Inshala trump will sink kharg deeper than atlantis

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 17

Trump speech was a nothing burger. Voter fraud! zzz he barely discussed Iran

adasol Jul 16

Israel preparing for possible US-Iran escalation next week - Channel 12

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 16

Good luck making Kharg hostage. Iran will surrender and accept every demand if US succeeds. US will fail.

meagainsttheworld Jul 16

Trump never lost a war since he started copy trading, and oil is flowing like never before

tetrose Jul 16

Trump is planning to sink Kharg Island with a tactical nuke

tetrose Jul 16

Kharg is going to go down like titanic.

oopslostmoney Jul 16

Cha-ching

Predict90 Jul 23

Great predictions

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 15

Iran will not allow this to happen. This is the same as if a tactical nuke was placed in Kharg.

SukMadic Jul 14

Pls open future dates

0xblink Jul 14

why no December resolution?

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 13

Now what happens if there is a TRUTH SOCIAL POST that declares Kharg under control in US but Iran denies it?

0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503 Jul 14

Why you even ask without reading the rules: "An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established"

oopslostmoney Jul 13

"Keep the oil, anyone?" is a provocative slogan used by U.S. President Donald Trump in spring 2026 amid rising tensions and a de facto blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.

oopslostmoney Jul 13

Wow, so subtly insightful

adasol Jul 13

Explosions heard near Bandar Abbas and Qeshm – Iran's state media Explosions were heard near the southern Iranian city of Bandar Abbas and Qeshm island around midday on Monday, state media reported. The blasts appeared to come from an area some distance from Bandar Abbas, possibly along the city’s western coast, according to the report.

adasol Jul 13

Explosions heard in Iran’s Bandar Abbas The IRNA news agency reports that at least two powerful explosions have been heard in Bandar Abbas, in Iran’s southern Hormozgan province, in the past hour. The report came moments before US Central Command announced that its latest wave of attacks on Iran was over.

Milin-dc Jul 13

No way

adasol Jul 11

Iran will not enter talks until US retreats from positions – IRGC media Tehran will not enter negotiations with the United States unless Washington retreats from its current positions, the IRGC-affiliated Fars News Agency reported Saturday, citing a source close to Iran’s negotiating team.

Isekai Jul 10

kharg maxxing

alpaje Jul 10

goymaxxxing

adasol Jul 9

US expands attacks into southeastern Iran on second night of strikes Several cities along Iran’s southern coast were targeted, including the important port city of Bandar Abbas, where several explosions were reported. On nearby islands close to the Strait of Hormuz, including Qeshm and Abu Musa, there were also reports of air defence systems being activated, as well as explosions. What was new compared with the night before was the expansion of attacks into southeastern Iran. The cities of Iranshahr, Konarak and Chabahar were all targeted.

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 8

Iran will destroy Kharg Island if US tries to occupy it.

JohnnyDODEPP1 Jul 8

letsgo mr TRUMP

1337ponkt Jul 8

BREAKING: TRUML THREATENS TO TAKE OVER KHARG ISLAND Trump: "We may take over Kharg Island. There's not a thing they can do about it. I said 'don't hit the pipes, just hit everything else' and they hit it."

adasol Jul 8

Trump says Iran memorandum is over, calls Tehran leaders 'scums' US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday a memorandum of understanding with Iran aimed at ending the conflict was over, describing Iran's leaders as "liars and scums" and saying he no longer wanted to negotiate with them. "As far as I'm concerned, it's over," Trump told reporters in Ankara before a NATO summit.

Mission3 Jul 5

no way kharg will remain with iran