US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?

This is an insult

AXIOS's paraphrase was mistaken for an official statement by Trump; this is an insult to the intelligence of all traders.

anyway UMA is corrupt but having pm clarification in every disputed market makes it even worse, imagine how much the guys that writes these clarifications can make

If UMA-whale borntoolate wants he could grab 20M here and make it go no against pm clarification. pm wont stop using UMA anyway theres no alt. (then again it might be borntoolate thats quoting 20m at 99.9ct, hard to see why anybody would risk this for peanuts)

one of the biggest scam on polymarket

That’s true. Should be some announcement from official’s

Like trump?

There is wasn’t officially announcement

I did say, it's obvious to everyone, it's a bet on Trump saying "We're cutting the attacks!!!" That's all he's done for 5 months, say he's going to cause hellfire and then says "We have secured peace" every 24 hours

And you think UMA will be impartial enough to rule Trump's Truth Social isn't authoritive?

Trump always taco

One of the clearest NOs I have ever seen

If every time Iran attacks commercial ships and the U.S. responds with strikes, there is a subsequent pause — and if that also qualifies under the rules — then what kind of absurd market is this?

HEY ? HELLO ? YOU WHAT

?

This should be NO on the evidence submitted. The rules require a public, official, declarative statement clearly announcing a general suspension of US offensive military action. None has been produced. In the gaggle clip, Trump says Iran asked the US to stop and then describes “where we are right now.” That is an allusion to the situation—not an unambiguous declaration that the US has suspended offensive operations. The Axios article is weaker still. “Trump decided to pause strikes” is the journalist’s paraphrase, not Trump’s declarative words, and Axios is not an official US channel. Trump’s actual quotes discuss negotiations, mediator requests and possible renewed “very strong” action. They never announce a general cessation. The article also describes a geographically limited hold-fire around southern Iran and Hormuz—exactly the kind of partial pause the rules exclude. A real-world pause may have occurred. But without the required official announcement, the current YES proposal is premature. NO.

It's a complete scam. This market is entirely based on the flow of funds and interprets the rules.

No individual or institution of the U.S. government has issued any formal official statement. Trump’s remarks are merely descriptive explanations of the reasons behind a tactical pause in airstrikes.

Trump’s remarks in the Axios interview are still essentially conditional in nature. He explained why the strikes were paused (at Iran’s request / to give space for negotiations) and explicitly stated that airstrikes would resume if no agreement is reached. This is more like explaining the reason for the current tactical choice, rather than the kind of formal declaration required by the rules — “I hereby officially announce that the United States is generally suspending/ceasing offensive military operations against Iran.” The rules explicitly exclude statements that are conditional, prospective, or uncertain.

No Truth post, no CENTCOM statement, no DoD release exists here. Thsi should be a NO

scam. please fight against this scam. this is a very easy win if we make noise on twitter

No individual or institution of the U.S. government has issued any formal official statement. Trump’s remarks are merely descriptive explanations of the reasons behind a tactical pause in airstrikes.

POLY SCAM !!!!! WHY RESOLVE AGAINST CHEAP SHARES ? SEE YOU IN COURT !!

No argument is non existent 💀

what a nice counter-argument, hold my logical fallacy

A clarification means the Poly team found the evidence it needed to rule in favor of what the market intended. Poly wants to resolve Yes.

uma whales are about to be cooked

the best Yes team can have is an Early Request :)

5. Resolution is based on an “official announcement,” not on whether strikes are actually occurring The rules are very clear: without a formal official announcement, it cannot resolve to Yes.

Stop the AI SPAM scammer

Almost like trump is a us official and he said the strikes are halted

Axios isnt an official source, and he didnt say anything about pausing operations

??

4. Retention of the ability and intent to resume strikes at any time The U.S. side continues to emphasize that airstrikes will resume if negotiations fail. This contradicts the requirement of announcing a general suspension of offensive operations — a genuine declaration of suspension would not typically retain the condition that a formal ceasefire must still be negotiated. This only proves that the current situation is not a formal ceasefire.

3. It is only a reduction in actual operations, not a “general suspension”The rules specifically state that a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations does not qualify. The current situation is closer to a “tactical buffer” than an announced general cessation of offensive military action.

2. Trump’s statements are conditional, not definitive Trump has clearly stated that the pause was made at Iran’s request and that airstrikes will resume if the two sides fail to reach a new ceasefire agreement. The rules explicitly exclude statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action. This is a classic conditional/tactical pause, not the “present and decided general suspension” required by the rules.

Treating an Axios news report as if it were an official announcement is a ridiculous bet. The rules are clear, and they are the only resolution criteria. For that reason, this market should resolve as “No.”

An Axios report from Barak Ravid was enough to resolve Yes on the Trump insulting Netanyahu market.

Lack of a qualifying “formal announcement” The market rules clearly require a public and official announcement by the U.S. government or an authorized representative stating a general end, termination, cessation, or suspension of U.S. offensive military action against Iran. So far, there have only been descriptive media reports and conditional remarks from Trump — no official declarative statement that meets the required standard.

POV: comments section is a buncha noobs buying at 5c to try scam a market

An operational lull or unannounced pause does not fulfill the resolution criteria by itself. President Trump explicitly stated that Washington remains in "very deep talks with Iran" but warned that the U.S. remains ready for "strong military action" if negotiations fail. No official statement explicitly declaring an end, cessation, or formal suspension of offensive military operations has been released yet.

CNN reports that Trump has warned airstrikes will resume if no ceasefire agreement is reached with Iran. This makes clear that the current overall pause in U.S. offensive operations is conditional and depends on the outcome of ceasefire negotiations between the two sides. The present halt in airstrikes is therefore only a tactical buffer, not a formal or unconditional suspension of offensive military action.

That 'President Trump decided to pause U.S. strikes on Iran to give negotiations another chance' is just a media narrative, not an official statement.

Trump literally just said, 'All of the people that deal with Iran asked me: Don't fire,' and warned he’d resume 'very strong military action' if talks fail. The reporter/media framed it as 'Trump decided to pause strikes' to spin a narrative. A conditional, tactical pause requested by mediators is NOT an official, unconditional declaration of a ceasefire

hey dumfuq, the market isnt about a ceasefire

its literally a cessation of fire but whatever, really uncalled for to call him dumb plus you understood full well what he meant

you should be ashamed of yourself walking round and bullying people like that

Eat it yestards and scammers! 🔥 🔥 🔥

Its not a public and official announcement and theres no consensus of credible reporting, its a NO!

"President Trump ... decided to pause U.S. strikes on Iran in order to give negotiations another chance, but stressed that he could order a return to expanded military operations if diplomacy fails." RULES: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date ... A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran."

The market required an announcement of a cessation of hostilities, for any number of time. Not a truce, not a peace agreement. Read the rules guys.

"We are in very deep talks with Iran. If they don't work out, we will go back to very strong military action," Trump said in the interview. All of the people that deal with Iran asked me: 'Don't fire,'" Trump said, stressing that he thinks Iran wants to make a deal. Between the lines: "Nothing gained, nothing lost," Trump said when he explained why he agreed to the mediators' request.

Newspapers and talkshows are no official channels though. I thought an official channel would be something like a White House statement, press briefing, official transcript, or post on an official White House account. Not Trump yapping on a phone call or talkshow. I think the rules explicitly set a very high bar on what qualifies and none of his quotes in their contexts satisfy them imo, maybe I'm not reading it properly but kind of confused.

That 'President Trump decided to pause U.S. strikes on Iran to give negotiations another chance' is just a media narrative, not an official statement

"publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date " When the president speaks in public while he is in office, how can that be non-official?

Not just the person needs to be official, the channel through which the announcement is declared must be official too

US Ready For “Strong Military Action" why do they keep trying to scam the market

US Ready For “Strong Military Action" and these clowns here trying to scam the market

Meh-hee-o!

this market can't be resolved yes just based on axios report, we all know it lol