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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Military Strikes Vol. $49,016,823 980 traders

Yes24%
No77%
$49,016,823 Vol. Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24% ▲ 2

Recent trades

25
  • 0x60bd…45b1 BUY Yes $10.00 5m ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.86 25m ago
  • 0x1e9c…88d1 SELL No $28.86 33m ago
  • 0x929f…9aa1 BUY Yes $11.53 46m ago
  • 0x3387…c3f7 SELL No $0.24 1h ago
  • 0x8c0c…63ca SELL Yes $86.48 1h ago
  • 0xe5a3…44ed BUY Yes $24.00 1h ago
  • 0xb6ce…895d BUY Yes $2.64 1h ago
  • 0xa24a…bfa5 SELL Yes $0.96 1h ago
  • 0xa24a…bfa5 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xe338…64ad BUY Yes $0.48 1h ago
  • 0xe338…64ad BUY No $1.54 1h ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $8.02 1h ago
  • 0x0e25…7db4 SELL Yes $4.79 1h ago
  • 0x401a…684b SELL No $9.50 1h ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $160.41 1h ago
  • 0x3387…c3f7 SELL No $0.27 1h ago
  • 0x500a…c8e4 SELL Yes $95.83 1h ago
  • 0x2fe7…0c14 SELL No $0.96 2h ago
  • 0x3276…6a94 SELL Yes $1.92 2h ago
  • 0x3276…6a94 BUY Yes $2.00 2h ago
  • 0xbc92…4593 SELL No $98.70 2h ago
  • 0x099c…be01 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
  • 0xf22e…18f2 SELL No $21.58 3h ago
  • 0x801e…b401 SELL No $8.45 3h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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